David:
I just finished the Worst Case Scenarios: http://www.in3.org/articles/gh2018worst.htm
There are a lot of them and they're scary. PHRs are kind of boring by themselves, but there are a couple of smaller apps that may drive acceptance.
--Fitness
I'm always amazed by the amount of money, attention and gear dedicated to exercise, weight loss and fitness. People spend many millions on complementary medicine, vitamins, diet supplements. These are voluntary purchases of better health -- mostly outside of the regular medical context. I'm doing a talk at a wellness and health club conference on digital self-care, and the gizmoa are astounding. Not necessarily scientifically valid, but interesting.
--Hooking up
Young people don't got to doctors because they know they'll live forever. Except if they're getting STD tests or contraceptives in a new relationship. I wonder if the Facebook generation would be happy to have a public sex health status badge.
--Insurance, health savings
As third-party payer schemes disappear, Americans especially are going to have to become more educated consumers. In he Age of FedEx, Priceline and Amazon.com, healthcare is the only thing we buy that we don't know how much it costs or how good it is.
--Eldercare
Many Boomers have been relatively careful with their health, but now they're responsible for their parents' health, as well. Metrics for family care are combined with telemedicine and monitoring systems to manage the Greatest Generation's last years.
PMRs will have to be automatic or they're not worth the hassle. Soon enough there will be a one-time opt-in at the pharmacy, the health club, Starbucks, American Express and other e-commerce sites that will gather the data and post it to Google withou a second thought. Physicians will be the last to get it togetherm but the investments in technology and marketing money that can pay off don'thave that much to do with doctors, I think.
--Jack